Key Takeaways From L Brands’ Q4 Results


L Brands (NYSE: LB) posted a mixed performance in its recent fourth quarter earnings.  Net sales of the company rose to $4,823.1 million, up 7.4% from the prior-year quarter, with adjusted earnings per share  at $2.11 and the bottom line also improved 3.9% year over year . This was driven by growth across its Bath and Body Works segment, a well-positioned customer strategy, international diversification, and rising online sales.
However, store only comparable sales decreased 2% year over year. Victoria’s Secret’s exit from swimwear and apparel to focus solely on their core undergarments in the previous year, was one of the reasons for this slowdown. Even though the BBW segment continues to perform well, VS Stores continues to be the most important segment for the company as it derives close to 50% of its revenues from this segment and it is striving to get it back on track.
Looking ahead, the company is  focused on improving performance in the Victoria’s Secret business, staying close to its customer, improving the customer experience in stores and online, and improving assortments in compelling new product launches. They continue to be disciplined in the management of inventory, expenses, and capital. Based on these factors the company forecasts 2018 sales to grow by single digits and adjusted earnings in the band of $2.95-$3.25 per share including earnings per share between $0.15 and $0.20 in the first quarter. Please refer to our dashboard analysis on L Brands Q4.

Key trends from L Brands fourth quarter earnings are outlined below:

Segment-Wise Performance with outperformance by Bath and Body Works segment – The decline in traffic in brick-and-mortar stores has been a major cause of concern for VS, causing its store sales in Q4 to decline  1.2% to $2,038.3 million, while Victoria’s Secret direct sales were up 19.9% to $630.6 million.  The company is making attempts to improve understanding of customers’ demands in order to make the products more relevant and relatable to them. The company has also focused on more efficient teams, strengthening its core bra business, and focusing on the holiday season during the end of the year. VS is also focusing on providing the most innovative and fashionable bras, in all its segments. L Brands opened five Victoria’s Secret stores and shuttered 19 outlets, taking the total count to 1,170 stores.

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Strong performances by the company’s home fragrance assortment drove that segment sales and hence Bath and Body Works’ sales increased by 10.7% to $1,793.7 million, with a 6% rise in comparable sales.  This segment has seen steady growth over the last few years  and is likely to boost growth in the upcoming year as well. A total of 1,694 BBW stores operated in Q4.

Well-positioned customer strategy and focus on delivering a differentiated customer experience fuels growth – L Brands continues to revamp business by improving the store experience, localizing assortments, and enhancing direct business. These measures  facilitate it to generate incremental sales and increase store transactions through higher conversion rates.  A sustained focus on cost containment, inventory management, merchandise, and speed-to-market initiatives has kept L Brands afloat in a competitive environment. This is evident from the company’s positive earnings surprise history.

Growth in International Sales  – With their sights set on the global marketplace, the international business has increased and as a result the company’s U.S. business has become a source for long-term growth and increased sales volumes, at the same time there was a decline in the U.K. business. The company continues to spend a lot of money to grow the business in China. In Q4, Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works International sales surged 37.2% to $170.3 million.

Growth in E-commerce Sales  – Driven by the growing trend of online shopping , online sales of the company rose in every geography underlining this to be a global trend. The online channel comprises of the company and retailer websites. L Brands is seeing very strong momentum in online sales growth with online revenue for VS was up 15% in Q4, while Bath & Body Works online revenue was up 22%. The online revenue was 18.3% of total revenue, becoming a significant part of the business. With rising disposable incomes and people continuing to spend more online, this channel constitutes an increasing share of the company’s top line.

Looking ahead, we believe that driven by the above trends L Brands is likely to get on steadier footing this coming year.

 

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